Role OverviewMercor is seeking a senior elections forecaster to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff. The ideal candidate will have 8+ years of direct experience or equivalent performance in polling, win probabilities, or odds.
What You Will Do
The role involves making directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds, explaining the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact, and reviewing model-generated analyses.
Why It Might Be a Fit
The successful candidate will have strong polling literacy and causal event analysis, and experience working independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance.
Requirements
- senior elections forecaster
- campaign strategist
- polling or statistical-methodology expert
- political-risk analyst
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